As Russia continues its drive for a great reboot of its lopsided relationship with the West, the USA and its allies are still waiting to see what Moscow’s next move will be.
On the surface, unsophisticated intransigence dominates. In essence, the Western general line goes, we are ready to talk but not about any of the things that really matter and Moscow wants the most.
Which is stopping NATO expansion and, in effect, neutralizing Ukraine. Spreading dis-information about Russian coup plans for Kiev – plans that no one there seems to know about or take seriously.
Instead, the West is sending more military forces to eastern Europe, pumping up Kiev with arms and war advisors, making noises about supporting an insurgency to trap Russia in a quagmire if it should invade in force.
Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky, meanwhile, says the time has come to make a transition to offensive actions, disturbingly implying that he may be ready to start a major escalation, perhaps in the self-defeating style of former Georgian president Mikhail Saakashvili in 2008.
The difference would, of course, be in the fact that the West has allowed itself to become much more badly entangled with Kiev than it ever did with Tbilisi.
Where the Georgian leadership fortunately failed to wag the dog and drag the West into its war, a Ukrainian bid to do the same cannot be excluded and, worse, might work.
In this apparently deadlocked and increasingly risky power play, in theory the West still has the greater assets. America’s decision to deploy approximately 3,000 soldiers to Romania, Poland, and Germany is proof that Moscow is right to be concerned about Russia’s security.
Given the current level of neo-Cold War scaremongering, it may be hard to recall, but if push came to shove, a fully mobilized NATO would have more firepower and economic depth than Russia. Yet Moscow has three real advantages, too.
First, while it does not command the same total resources as the West, it has enough to be a formidable opponent. Its nuclear weapons essentially counter-balance those of the West.
Both sides can terribly cripple or entirely destroy the other; neither can be certain to survive cornering the other too much.
Russia’s conventional forces, meanwhile, are powerful enough to threaten the West with local defeat, as Western planners sometimes acknowledge.
Of course, some of these warnings are neo-Cold War mobilizing talk to impress the public and, last but not least, angle for more defense spending. Yet it would be foolish to underestimate the reality of Russian military resurgence.
At the very least, Moscow has the capacity to impose a war of great sacrifice and cost. Fighting Russia would not be a one-sided slaughter like Iraq or Libya, against hopelessly inferior opponents, but a mutual pounding that would test will and morale on both sides.
There is no telling who would stand up better to it. But underestimating Russian soldiers has never been a good idea. France and Germany do not start a war against Russia.
RT. com / ABC Flash Point News 2022.
You can’t have it both ways.. it’s either your good or evil.. it’s like saying Muslims that join the ISIS are decent men . The ISIS started from death & destruction’s by the USA for the sole purpose of taking out the dictators that stopped listening to the west that were in the first place came into power after ww2 with the help of USA/BRITISH.. So my point is moment you join the band of isis or those groups you know who have started wars that murdered millions of innocent people just minding their own business… those that have blood… Read more »
Its called capitalism, money flowing from the poor to the fitly rich.
NATO already invaded all the former Warsaw Pact countries, installed nuclear missiles in Italy, Germany and the Netherlands, in another attempt to attack Russia (after Napoleon and Hitler failed) to occupy the Russian Republic and steal away their massive mineral wealth?
And Russia is called the invaders, how stupid can people get?
Putin is the only president that had so much assassination attempts on his life, that his entire security crew are now lying dead at the graveyard. Bolsheviks still want Putin gone, but most of them, around one million now live in the only professional crime state on this planet?
No news about this in the Western media?